Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.030729 0.033577 0.036440 0.039527 0.042756 0.046029 0.049589
2026-02-01 0.025502 0.029664 0.033986 0.038786 0.043946 0.049304 0.055269
2026-02-08 0.021765 0.026851 0.032293 0.038495 0.045317 0.052544 0.060734
2026-02-15 0.019671 0.025556 0.032018 0.039541 0.047967 0.057034 0.067449
2026-02-22 0.017846 0.024353 0.031672 0.040358 0.050243 0.061020 0.073539
2026-03-01 0.016104 0.023071 0.031092 0.040783 0.051975 0.064320 0.078804
2026-03-08 0.014488 0.021791 0.030393 0.040966 0.053342 0.067141 0.083474
2026-03-15 0.013485 0.021168 0.030395 0.041901 0.055520 0.070836 0.089091
2026-03-22 0.011802 0.019557 0.029102 0.041210 0.055732 0.072227 0.092047
2026-03-29 0.010743 0.018667 0.028627 0.041445 0.056982 0.074772 0.096286
2026-04-05 0.009959 0.018080 0.028481 0.042039 0.058625 0.077748 0.100998
2026-04-12 0.009154 0.017400 0.028172 0.042393 0.059951 0.080331 0.105239
2026-04-19 0.007636 0.015626 0.026389 0.040877 0.059009 0.080263 0.106436
2026-04-26 0.006653 0.014543 0.025459 0.040392 0.059291 0.081619 0.109282
2026-05-03 0.005876 0.013700 0.024804 0.040223 0.059936 0.083390 0.112601
2026-05-10 0.005592 0.013603 0.025159 0.041358 0.062195 0.087095 0.118207
2026-05-17 0.005250 0.013382 0.025321 0.042226 0.064114 0.090387 0.123323
2026-05-24 0.004812 0.012964 0.025181 0.042677 0.065495 0.093020 0.127653
2026-05-31 0.004341 0.012445 0.024866 0.042872 0.066536 0.095230 0.131471
2026-06-07 0.004111 0.012329 0.025127 0.043835 0.068551 0.098626 0.136708
2026-06-14 0.003484 0.011426 0.024183 0.043128 0.068402 0.099355 0.138733
2026-06-21 0.003138 0.011010 0.023944 0.043369 0.069462 0.101560 0.142527
2026-06-28 0.002900 0.010782 0.023978 0.043979 0.070992 0.104341 0.147012